Anastasia Potapova vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 08 Mar at 07:01 AM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
A. Potapova vs M. Keys

RUS
1
Win
Played
2
Win

USA
1
Win
Played
2
Win
Head-to-head: Potapova 1 - 2 Keys
They have played 6 sets in total, with Anastasia Potapova winning 2 and Madison Keys winning 4. The last match between Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-3 6-0.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Potapova | 1 |
| Keys | 2 |
Last 3 H2H Matches:
(R2) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-08-25)
(R2) Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(03-09-21)
(R2) Australian Open - Melbourne(01-17-19)
A. Potapova vs M. Keys H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $3,437,946 | Career Prize Money | $20,819,148 |
| 58.39% (240-171) | Career Total W/L | 64.27% (421-234) |
| 1 | Hard | 2 |
| 4 | Titles | 14 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
| 58.97% (23-16) | YTD Win/Loss | 71.15% (37-15) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 2 |
A. Potapova vs M. Keys Match Preview:
Analyzing recent performances reveals Potapova's second serve success at 40.84%, slightly trailing Keys, who stands at 42.39%. Such statistics are integral to the precise prediction of match results. In return game stature, Potapova's performance of winning 50.49% on opponents’ second serve compares closely to Keys' 50%. The records for first serve returns are 31.18% for Potapova and 30.11% for Keys, further aiding the projection of the outcome in this particular head-to-head competition.
Examining match performance over the past year, Potapova boasts a win rate of 58.82% (30 wins, 21 losses), while Keys leads with an impressive 74% win rate (37 wins, 13 losses). Keys' superior overall win-loss record suggests a notable advantage going into this match. On favored surfaces, Potapova records a career win percentage of 67% on indoor hard courts, her strongest domain, while Keys excels on grass with a 72% victory rate. Potapova, however, has a lower performance on hard surfaces, at a 54% win rate, paralleling Keys' lesser success on indoor hard courts with a 53% win rate.
Playing under pressure, Potapova has successfully saved 54.81% of breakpoints, versus Keys’ 51.4% breakpoint save rate. This insight assists in live betting strategies when either contender faces pressure situations. The statistics reveal both players' capabilities under high-stakes settings, an essential factor for those analyzing potential match dynamics. Regarding direct confrontations, the head-to-head tally is evenly split with one victory each; intriguingly, both players have won two sets of the four played.
Keys has faced higher-ranked opponents, boasting an average opponent rank of 37.78, compared to Potapova’s 73.59, indicating Keys' experience against tougher competition. Deciding set performances indicate Potapova has a win percentage of 53% over the past year, whereas Keys has triumphed in 79% of such scenarios. Additionally, the present form depicts Potapova’s breakpoint conversion slightly better than Keys, at 39.13% compared to 38.14% when opportunities arise.
In summary, while Potapova exhibits powerful stats, particularly in breakpoint conversion and match under pressure, Keys’ overall statistics, including her higher win percentage and experience with elite opposition, signal an edge. Combining these metrics compels the prediction towards Keys as the anticipated victor in this matchup.
Anastasia Potapova vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. Potapova vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 2 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 4 |
| 22 | Games Won | 31 |
| 6 | Aces (Total) | 11 |
| 14 | Total Double Faults | 7 |
| 1:16:25 | Average Match Time | 1:16:25 |
| 54% (112/207) | 1st Serve % | 57% (95/167) |
| 54% (61/112) | 1st Serve Win % | 67% (64/95) |
| 41% (39/95) | 2nd Serve Win % | 40% (29/72) |
| 42% (10/24) | Break Pts Won % | 45% (15/33) |
| 44% (74/167) | Return Points Win % | 49% (101/207) |
| 33% (1/3) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 67% (2/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
A. Potapova Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
R4 | L | 6-2 6-4 | ||
R3 | W | 6-3 7-5 | ||
R2 | W | 7-6(5) 7-5 | ||
R1 | W | 6-3 6-4 | ||
R2 | L | 6-1 6-3 | ||
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Robin | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
R1 | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
R4 | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3 | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||

A. Potapova vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 58.39% (240/171) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.27% (421/234) |
| 55.74% (544/432) | Sets Win/Loss | 62.25% (935/567) |
| 51.84% (4739/4402) | Games Win/Loss | 54.63% (7694/6389) |
| 52.94% (108/96) | Hard Win/Loss | 64.12% (252/141) |
| 64.41% (76/42) | Clay Win/Loss | 64.47% (98/54) |
| 66.13% (41/21) | Indoor Hard W/L | 50.00% (17/17) |
| 55.56% (15/12) | Grass Win/Loss | 71.05% (54/22) |
| 0.19 | Aces Per Game | 0.42 |
| 830 | Aces Total | 2893 |
| 0.42 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1865 | Total Double Faults | 1416 |
| 1:36:16 | Average Match Time | 1:19:25 |
| 302.07 | Average Opponent Rank | 354.36 |
| 56% (16334/29168) | 1st Serve % | 63% (25508/40424) |
| 64% (10381/16334) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (17495/25508) |
| 45% (5796/12834) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (7162/14899) |
| 46% (1721/3762) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (2121/4838) |
| 46% (13468/29335) | Return Points Win % | 43% (18091/41631) |
| 50.00% (25/25) | Slam W/L | 70.86% (124/51) |
| 49.44% (44/45) | Masters W/L | 55.77% (116/92) |
| 50.00% (1/1) | Cups W/L | 44.44% (4/5) |
| 62.11% (118/72) | Main Tour W/L | 66.32% (126/64) |
| 63.49% (40/23) | Challenger W/L | 64.91% (37/20) |
| 70.59% (12/5) | Futures W/L | 87.50% (14/2) |
| 59% (234/400) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 65% (417/643) |
| 100% (3/3) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 25% (1/4) |
| 51% (57/111) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (102/177) |
| 58% (92/159) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (104/197) |
| 84% (221/185) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 87% (426/369) |
| 16% (221/36) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (426/56) |
| 29% (190/55) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 22% (229/51) |
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