Anastasia Potapova vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 08 Mar at 07:01 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

A. Potapova vs M. Keys

Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova

Flag RUS RUS

l
w
l
l
w
l
w
w
w
l
Madison Keys
Madison Keys

Flag USA USA

w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l

1

Win

3

Played

2

Win

24
Age
30
1.75m
Height
1.78m
51
C. Rank
7
21
Best Rank
5
3
Total Titles
11
1
YTD Titles
2
$3.4M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Potapova 1 - 2 Keys

They have played 6 sets in total, with Anastasia Potapova winning 2 and Madison Keys winning 4. The last match between Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-3 6-0.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Potapova1
Keys2
Last 3 H2H Matches:

(R2BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-08-25)

Hard
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
6
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
3
0

(R2Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(03-09-21)

Hard
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
6
6
USA Flag
Madison Keys
4
3

(R2Australian Open - Melbourne(01-17-19)

Hard
USA Flag
Madison Keys
6
6
RUS Flag
Anastasia Potapova
3
4

A. Potapova vs M. Keys H2H Profile

Stats
$3,437,946Career Prize Money$20,819,148
58.39% (240-171)Career Total W/L64.27% (421-234)
1Hard2
4Titles14
1Total H2H Matches2
58.97% (23-16)YTD Win/Loss71.15% (37-15)
1YTD Titles2

A. Potapova vs M. Keys Match Preview:

Analyzing recent performances reveals Potapova's second serve success at 40.84%, slightly trailing Keys, who stands at 42.39%. Such statistics are integral to the precise prediction of match results. In return game stature, Potapova's performance of winning 50.49% on opponents’ second serve compares closely to Keys' 50%. The records for first serve returns are 31.18% for Potapova and 30.11% for Keys, further aiding the projection of the outcome in this particular head-to-head competition.

Examining match performance over the past year, Potapova boasts a win rate of 58.82% (30 wins, 21 losses), while Keys leads with an impressive 74% win rate (37 wins, 13 losses). Keys' superior overall win-loss record suggests a notable advantage going into this match. On favored surfaces, Potapova records a career win percentage of 67% on indoor hard courts, her strongest domain, while Keys excels on grass with a 72% victory rate. Potapova, however, has a lower performance on hard surfaces, at a 54% win rate, paralleling Keys' lesser success on indoor hard courts with a 53% win rate.

Playing under pressure, Potapova has successfully saved 54.81% of breakpoints, versus Keys’ 51.4% breakpoint save rate. This insight assists in live betting strategies when either contender faces pressure situations. The statistics reveal both players' capabilities under high-stakes settings, an essential factor for those analyzing potential match dynamics. Regarding direct confrontations, the head-to-head tally is evenly split with one victory each; intriguingly, both players have won two sets of the four played.

Keys has faced higher-ranked opponents, boasting an average opponent rank of 37.78, compared to Potapova’s 73.59, indicating Keys' experience against tougher competition. Deciding set performances indicate Potapova has a win percentage of 53% over the past year, whereas Keys has triumphed in 79% of such scenarios. Additionally, the present form depicts Potapova’s breakpoint conversion slightly better than Keys, at 39.13% compared to 38.14% when opportunities arise.

In summary, while Potapova exhibits powerful stats, particularly in breakpoint conversion and match under pressure, Keys’ overall statistics, including her higher win percentage and experience with elite opposition, signal an edge. Combining these metrics compels the prediction towards Keys as the anticipated victor in this matchup.

Anastasia Potapova vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Potapova vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won2
2Sets Won4
22Games Won31
6Aces (Total)11
14Total Double Faults7
1:16:25Average Match Time1:16:25
54% (112/207)1st Serve %57% (95/167)
54% (61/112)1st Serve Win %67% (64/95)
41% (39/95)2nd Serve Win %40% (29/72)
42% (10/24)Break Pts Won %45% (15/33)
44% (74/167)Return Points Win %49% (101/207)
33% (1/3)Best‑of‑3 Win %67% (2/3)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (2/2)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Potapova 48%, Keys 47%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Potapova 55%, Keys 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Potapova 53%, Keys 58%.

A. Potapova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R4

CZEL. Noskova
L
6-2 6-4

R3

TURZ. Sonmez
W
6-3 7-5

R2

CANV. Mboko
W
7-6(5) 7-5

R1

CZEK. Siniakova
W
6-3 6-4
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R2

RUSM. Andreeva
L
6-1 6-3

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardWTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025

Robin

USAA. Anisimova
L
4-6 6-3 6-2

Robin

POLI. Swiatek
L
6-1 6-2
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R1

MEXR. Zarazua
L
6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R4

KAZE. Rybakina
L
6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

R3

JPNA. Ito
W
6-4 6-0
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A. Potapova vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
58.39% (240/171)YTD Win/Loss64.27% (421/234)
55.74% (544/432)Sets Win/Loss62.25% (935/567)
51.84% (4739/4402)Games Win/Loss54.63% (7694/6389)
52.94% (108/96)Hard Win/Loss64.12% (252/141)
64.41% (76/42)Clay Win/Loss64.47% (98/54)
66.13% (41/21)Indoor Hard W/L50.00% (17/17)
55.56% (15/12)Grass Win/Loss71.05% (54/22)
0.19Aces Per Game0.42
830Aces Total2893
0.42Double Faults Per Game0.21
1865Total Double Faults1416
1:36:16Average Match Time1:19:25
302.07Average Opponent Rank354.36
56% (16334/29168)1st Serve %63% (25508/40424)
64% (10381/16334)1st Serve Win %69% (17495/25508)
45% (5796/12834)2nd Serve Win %48% (7162/14899)
46% (1721/3762)Break Points Won % (Total)44% (2121/4838)
46% (13468/29335)Return Points Win %43% (18091/41631)
50.00% (25/25)Slam W/L70.86% (124/51)
49.44% (44/45)Masters W/L55.77% (116/92)
50.00% (1/1)Cups W/L44.44% (4/5)
62.11% (118/72)Main Tour W/L66.32% (126/64)
63.49% (40/23)Challenger W/L64.91% (37/20)
70.59% (12/5)Futures W/L87.50% (14/2)
59% (234/400)Best of 3 Sets Win %65% (417/643)
100% (3/3)Best of 5 Sets Win %25% (1/4)
51% (57/111)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)58% (102/177)
58% (92/159)Deciding Set Win %53% (104/197)
84% (221/185)1st Set Won, Won Match87% (426/369)
16% (221/36)1st Set Won, Lost Match13% (426/56)
29% (190/55)1st Set Lost, Won Match22% (229/51)

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